The price of Bitcoin has increased by over 7% in the last 24 hours and but the momentum is slowing down as the vicinity of the significant resistance point has been reached.

  • Bitcoin’s price encountered resistance as it’s getting close to the 0.618 Fib level.
  • Downturn shortly expected as the five-wave move looks near completion.
  • This five-wave impulse is the sub-wave of the C wave from the ABC correction to the upside according to the current count.
  • If we see the price moving below $11981 it would confirm the completion of the three-wave move to the upside.

Bitcoin Price BTC

BTC/USD

From yesterday’s open at $12317 the price of Bitcoin increased to $12761 but then fell below its opening price as it came down to $12100 level. After this retracement, the start of another rise has been seen with the price reaching $13055 at its highest point today around which it is currently being traded.

The price momentum has been stopped out after an increase of 7.76% measured from yesterday’s low at $12100 as the price started encountering resistance around the vicinity of the prior high on the ending point of the 5th wave of the upward impulse.

Looking at the 15 min chart, you can see that the price got close to the 0.618 Fib level but there hasn’t been an interaction before the price found resistance and has started to flat out, forming a horizontal resistance point.

As we are seeing the ending wave of the five-wave impulse its further development would be expected to end around the vicinity of the 0.618 Fib level and proper interaction with the price potentially exceeding it on the spike up.

This would be the completion of the five-wave impulse which started on the 7th of July and is the third wave out of the upward structure from the 2nd of July. Previous to the five-wave increase a corrective triangle has been seen forming which was according to my count the B wave out of the upward ABC three-wave move.

This three-wave move would be the X wave of the higher degree count which is why after its completion which is set to develop very shortly I would be expecting a move to the downside as the third wave Y should develop.

Another possibility would be that the correction ended on the first three-wave move which are only the sub-waves of the W wave according to the current count.

If that is true, then we could be seeing the development of another five-wave move instead of the three-wave ABC correction to the upside.

In either way, from here I would be expecting a move to the downside and if the price falls below the lower interrupted blue horizontal level on the retracement I would indicate that the move to the upside has ended on the third wave and is corrective and not impulsive.


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Posted by Nikola Lazić

Nikola holds a bachelor degree in Sociology, which gives him an edge as a financial markets analyst, i.e., to better understand the psychology behind the crowd´s positioning. Consequently, his preferred analytical tools are Elliot applications, combined with Fibonacci cluster formations. He started learning more about financial markets back in 2015 and is now a full-time trader.As a crypto expert, Nikola´s approach to the future of the industry favors a more decentralized market that falls in line with a new “anarchic” capitalism trend. His analysis have been praised by some of the most influential people in the cryptocurrency scene, such as Jeff Berwick (founder of The Dollar Vigilante Newsletter), Vit Jedlicka (the president of Liberland), as well as other relevant peers.


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