From yesterday things haven’t changed much for the cryptocurrency market capitalization as the evaluation is currently around the same levels as on yesterdays open which is around $135,5B. There were, of course, some movements to the downside followed by some increase but for the most part, the evaluation is hovering around the mentioned level.

  • Market Cap: $136,572,596,649
  • 24h Vol: $15,716,195,941
  • BTC Dominance: 51.6%

Crypto Price Update

Looking at the global chart we can see that the evaluation has been trying to go past the horizontal resistance which was interacted with on 6th but after it came up to it, it got rejected again on two occasions today. The upward pressure might not be enough for the breakout on the upside so the exhaustion may lead up to the further decline of the cryptocurrency market.

Today the market is showing mixed colors but has been mostly in red with an average percentage of change in the last 24 hours, among the top 100 coins ranging around 1.2-2%. The biggest losers are Buggyra Coin Zero with a decrease of 11.23% followed by Dentacoin with a decrease of 12.57%. The biggest gainers are in double digits as well as Aurora with an increase of 14%, Pundi X with 11.22% and Mixin with 10%.

Bitcoin’s market dominance has decreased as it reached its lowest point today at 51.52% but is now starting to increase again and is evaluation is currently slightly above 51.6%.

Bitcoin BTC/USD

From yesterday’s open at $4130 the price of Bitcoin has declined by 1.36% as its currently being traded at $4073.

Looking at the hourly chart you can see that the price went in a downward trajectory since it interacted with the ascending channels resistance line and is heading down to the horizontal support at around $4000. The wick from the downside indicates that the price wanted to go and establish support and it did on the next horizontal level (purple line) at $4080 which was the prior two highs ending point.

The price went below it and is currently recovering but since it is retesting the horizontal resistance at $4080 from the upside we are soon going to see a rejection or another increase that would lead the price to go back up above it. The RSI is showing signs of weakness as it went to its lower boarded and was 29.7% on the previous red candle, but has now recovered and is at 37.68%.

As expected the price action is likely developing the second X wave so after some minor support is established I would be expecting another increase, optimally to the bold black line for a second interaction or even slightly above it to the levels of the ending point of the prior increase which is around $4367.

When this increase is completed more downside would be expected a breakout from the current ascending channel and the horizontal levels that are currently supporting the price.

Market sentiment 

Bitcoin is in the sell zone.

Pivot points

S3 3297.2
S2 3609.7
S1 3760.8
P 3922.1
R1 4073.2
R2 4234.6
R3 4547.1

Bitcoin Cash BCH/USD

From yesterday’s open at $160, the price of Bitcoin Cash has declined by 2.27% as its currently being traded at $156.9.

On the hourly chart, you can see that the price action created a symmetrical triangle after an exponential increase of 202% which indicates consolidation. The price is currently on the triangles support line so from here I would expect a bounce off of the support line and a further increase. As the price is below the horizontal resistance level at $166.4 that would be its first resistance point but since it hadn’t held the price that respectively, I don’t believe that it will serve as strong resistance now.

As you can see from my Elliott Wave count the current structure is most likely and abcde but I have labeled it as the X wave from a Minute WXY correction in the opposite direction. The expected increase would be the same length as the W wave so the price could optimally end on the next resistance zone around $182.

After the move to the upside has completed a move to the downside is to be expected because the Y wave ends on the upper level so a trend continuation or at least another correction should be expected.

Market sentiment

Bitcoin Cash is in the sell zone.

Pivot points

S3 98.86
S2 129.14
S1 143.84
P 159.42
R1 174.12
R2 189.70
R3 219.98

Posted by Nikola Lazić

Nikola holds a bachelor degree in Sociology, which gives him an edge as a financial markets analyst, i.e., to better understand the psychology behind the crowd´s positioning. Consequently, his preferred analytical tools are Elliot applications, combined with Fibonacci cluster formations. He started learning more about financial markets back in 2015 and is now a full-time trader.As a crypto expert, Nikola´s approach to the future of the industry favors a more decentralized market that falls in line with a new “anarchic” capitalism trend. His analysis have been praised by some of the most influential people in the cryptocurrency scene, such as Jeff Berwick (founder of The Dollar Vigilante Newsletter), Vit Jedlicka (the president of Liberland), as well as other relevant peers.


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