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Over the weekend the evaluation of the cryptocurrency market cap has been hovering around the $171B level.

On Friday’s the evaluation fell to $167,258,754,023 at its lowest point, immediately after it came up to $173,150,000,000 at its highest but maintained to stay inside that range.

Today it started moving to the downside again but hasn’t broken the Friday’s low level as it came down to $167,563,671,307 before the move has reversed.

Bitcoin Price BTC

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Looking at the hourly chart we can see that the evaluation is still in the horizontal range from Friday which was made after a sharp decrease from around $179B level has been made in a matter of hours.

This is why we could interpret the stagnation as a consolidative range which is set to bring the buyers and the sellers closer to consensus. As the evaluation is in a downtrend this is most likely to end as a breakout to the downside with further decrease ahead.


3Commas

Crypto Market Moves

  • The market is mostly in the red today as the evaluation decreased by approximately 4.25 billion dollars from today’s high at around $171,8B
  •  The average percentage of change is ranging around 2.7% but with the biggest losers in double digits like Aurora, NULS, WAX, Ravencoin, Orbs who are down by around 10-12%.
  • Bitcoin’s market dominance has been steadily increasing over the weekend as it came from 54.3% at its lowest point on Saturday to 55.05% where it is currently sitting.

 

On the Bitcoin’s market dominance chart, you can see that the evaluation broke out from the descending triangle and came above the horizontal resistance level of the prior high. As it is currently being retested from the upside further continuation would be expected at least to 55.2% level which correlates inversely with the expected decrease in the market cap.

Bitcoin Price BTC/USD

From Friday’s open at $5187 which was also the lowest the price has been from 16th of April, we have seen an increase of 6.75% on Sunday when the price came up to $5537.6.

Since then the price has been in a minor downtrend and has led the price to spike slightly below the $5400 level around which the price is currently being traded.

On the hourly chart, we can see that the price of Bitcoin fell to the significant ascending support level on Friday’s low where it found support, as the price came spiking to the upside after the interaction has been made.

The price increased in a three-wave manner to the upside until it came up to the horizontal resistance level at around $5562 where it found resistance and started moving to the downside.

The price action is forming another minor descending expanding triangle which could be the fractal of the previous higher one made by the corrective structure labeled as the first ABC after the impulsive 5th wave ended. As after Friday’s low which was the ending point of the first ABC we have seen a three-wave move it could be the second ABC correction to the upside from out of the higher degree three-wave correction.

This means that now seen expanding triangle could be the starting structure of the third ABC correction and considering the fractality it looks likely.

If this is true, then we are going to see another interaction with the resistance level of the expanding triangle around the $5460-5470 level which is also a minor horizontal significant level before another move to the downside which would be likely to end on the significant ascending trendline – the support level from the ascending channel of a higher degree. As the price is still inside its territory we might be seeing the start of a breakout to the downside which we are going to see from the expected interaction with the ascending trendline.

Market sentiment

Hourly chart technicals are signaling a sell.

Pivot points

  • S3 4112.3
  • S2 4747.3
  • S1 5074.6
  • P 5382.3
  • R1 5709.6
  • R2 6017.3
  • R3 6652.3

Conclusion

Over the weekend the cryptocurrency market has been moving sideways and was mostly hovering around $171B level but today another minor downfall was made close to the levels of the Friday’s low.

This stagnation might be interpreted as consolidation that was made after the previous market slump which is why another move the downside is likely.

Bitcoin’s price chart is also showing bearish signs as the price recovered from Friday’s low but failed to surpass the resistance found at around $5562 level which caused another downturn as the price fell to $5370 at its lowest point today.

The price is still inside the territory of the ascending channel made by the price action from 3rd of April so now that the price is in a downward trajectory an interaction with its support level would be expected which would bring the price down to $5260.


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Posted by Nikola Lazić

Nikola holds a bachelor degree in Sociology, which gives him an edge as a financial markets analyst, i.e., to better understand the psychology behind the crowd´s positioning. Consequently, his preferred analytical tools are Elliot applications, combined with Fibonacci cluster formations. He started learning more about financial markets back in 2015 and is now a full-time trader.As a crypto expert, Nikola´s approach to the future of the industry favors a more decentralized market that falls in line with a new “anarchic” capitalism trend. His analysis have been praised by some of the most influential people in the cryptocurrency scene, such as Jeff Berwick (founder of The Dollar Vigilante Newsletter), Vit Jedlicka (the president of Liberland), as well as other relevant peers.


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2 Comments

  1. Avatar

    $8200 ..end of may first week of june

    Reply

    1. Avatar

      I agree with the projected time but I don’t believe that the price is headed further than $6250 as it would be the retest from the downside of the broken horizontal support level.

      Reply

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