TLDR
- TRUMP meme coin experienced a 5% price increase, reaching $16.40 following Arthur Hayes’ prediction about its potential to outperform Bitcoin
- Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes suggests TRUMP meme coin could lead Bitcoin’s price movement if crypto market sentiment improves
- TRUMP has become the fourth-largest meme coin, following Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe Coin, with trading volume increasing 102% to over $1.5 billion
- Hayes predicts meme coins will play a major role in the 2026 U.S. mid-term elections as tools for political advertising and voter engagement
- Crypto analyst Crypto Bull suggests buying TRUMP below $16, predicting a potential doubling in price
The TRUMP meme coin demonstrated fresh market strength today, recording a 5% price increase to reach $16.40 following a notable prediction from former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes. The price movement coincides with Hayes’ forecast that the token could potentially outperform Bitcoin as crypto market sentiment improves.
In recent trading sessions, TRUMP’s performance has set it apart from other digital assets. The token’s trading volume experienced a remarkable surge, jumping 102% to exceed $1.5 billion, indicating heightened investor activity and market interest in the asset.
The meme coin’s rise to prominence has been swift since its launch during Donald Trump’s inauguration. TRUMP has secured its position as the fourth-largest meme coin in the market, following established players Dogecoin (DOGE), Shiba Inu (SHIB), and Pepe Coin (PEPE).
Hayes shared his market analysis through a detailed blog post, where he outlined his views on the future role of meme coins in American politics. He suggests that these digital assets could become powerful tools for political advertising and campaign financing, particularly leading up to the 2026 mid-term elections in the United States.
The former BitMEX CEO’s observations included a notable detail about the token’s reach, mentioning that U.S. President Donald Trump monitors the TRUMP meme coin’s price movements. This connection between political figures and their associated digital assets represents a new dimension in the intersection of politics and cryptocurrency.
Market Analysis
Market dynamics surrounding the TRUMP token have shown interesting patterns. Hayes pointed out that during previous market cycles, TRUMP experienced an 80% decline from its peak, while Bitcoin hasn’t yet reclaimed its $110,000 level achieved during the height of TRUMP trading activity.
Hayes elaborated on the potential market indicators, suggesting that TRUMP’s price movements could precede broader market trends. He explained that if crypto-positive policies are anticipated by political insiders, TRUMP could experience price surges before such news becomes public, potentially leading Bitcoin’s price action.

The prediction extends beyond U.S. borders, with Hayes speculating about the potential emergence of political meme coins in other regions. He specifically mentioned the possibility of Chinese Communist Party leader Xi Jinping launching his own meme coin as a tool to demonstrate popular support.
Technical analysis of TRUMP’s current market position has drawn attention from various crypto market observers. Crypto analyst Crypto Bull has identified key support levels in TRUMP’s price action, suggesting that purchasing the token below $16 could present a valuable opportunity for investors.
Trading data shows that TRUMP’s recent performance stands out among its peer group. While other major cryptocurrencies faced challenging market conditions, TRUMP maintained positive price momentum, achieving a 13% increase over a 24-hour period to reach $16.87.
$TRUMP is printing a golden cross in 4hr tf , this is the first time its forming after it got listed on Binance 🤝
Time to send it much higher, presidents day is approaching and eveything is aligned for it 🚀 pic.twitter.com/NcTvKLJoCz
— Crypto Bull 🐂 ( Until 5th Sep 2025 ) (@holdersignals) February 13, 2025
The token’s market behavior has attracted attention from traders focusing on volume metrics. The substantial increase in trading volume to $1.5 billion represents a strong indicator of market participation and growing investor interest in the asset.
Price action analysis reveals that TRUMP has maintained strength relative to other meme coins in its category. Competing tokens like SHIB, DOGE, and PEPE have recorded comparatively modest gains during the same period.
Current market data indicates that Bitcoin’s price has encountered resistance near the $100,000 level, currently trading at $96,727. This context adds weight to Hayes’ earlier prediction of a potential Bitcoin price movement to $70,000, which he attributed to tightening liquidity conditions and persistent inflationary pressures.
The latest trading sessions show TRUMP continuing its upward trajectory, with the token’s price reaching $18.27, marking an 8.63% increase. This movement reinforces the asset’s position as one of the market’s top gainers during the current period.
Recent data further shows that investor confidence in TRUMP remains robust, with sustained trading volumes and consistent price support levels maintaining the token’s market momentum.