Key Takeaways
- Jim Cramer continues backing NVIDIA, insisting hyperscalers can’t execute AI buildouts without NVDA’s hardware despite competition from Amazon’s Trainium and other alternatives.
- The stock has climbed 5% in 2025 and surged 73% over the trailing twelve months, now hovering around $197 per share.
- May has historically delivered powerful returns for NVDA: +32% in 2024 and +20% in 2025, following a robust 20% April gain this year.
- Shares currently command a 25x forward earnings multiple — significantly cheaper than the 29–40x range seen historically — pointing to potential upside.
- Top-line momentum is building, with Q4 revenue jumping 73% year-over-year and Q1 guidance forecasting 77% expansion.
NVIDIA (NVDA) stock continues hovering near $197, posting a 5% gain year-to-date and an impressive 73% advance over the past year. Despite those solid returns, CNBC’s Jim Cramer isn’t backing off his optimistic outlook.
The Mad Money host reinforced his position this week while analyzing quarterly results from leading technology companies. His thesis remained straightforward: no matter how many proprietary chips cloud giants develop internally, they still require NVIDIA’s silicon — and they’re placing orders.
“You can’t do this without NVIDIA,” Cramer emphasized. “They can have all the Trainiums that they want… NVIDIA is the dominant player, still.”
He further highlighted Meta’s latest bond offering, implying that a significant portion of those proceeds will end up funding NVIDIA purchases for artificial intelligence systems.
Cramer’s core message remains consistent: alternative accelerators are available, but NVIDIA’s performance edge ensures it stays first on every datacenter procurement list.
Trading Multiples Suggest Room for Expansion
Beyond the televised endorsement, fundamental metrics are painting an intriguing picture.
NVDA shares currently fetch approximately 25 times projected earnings. That valuation sits well beneath the company’s typical trading range. During late 2024, the forward price-to-earnings ratio peaked at 37x. By May 2025’s conclusion, it had compressed to 29x — even as revenue deceleration was occurring.
Now the script has flipped. Growth rates are climbing. Fiscal 2025’s fourth quarter delivered 73% year-over-year revenue expansion, while management’s Q1 forecast calls for 77% growth. When a business accelerates at that velocity, a 25x earnings multiple appears unusually conservative.
Should the stock re-rate toward 32x forward earnings — still comfortably below previous peaks — investors could see roughly 30% appreciation from present levels.
Spring Months Have Powered NVDA Higher
Seasonal trends deserve attention as well.
During May 2024, NVDA shares jumped 32%. The following May brought a 20% rally. This year, April already contributed approximately 20% gains.
If historical tendencies persist, the current setup entering May appears promising. Artificial intelligence infrastructure investments keep expanding, with cloud leaders including Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta all confirming massive capital expenditure plans during their most recent earnings presentations.
Those billions need destinations. Currently, NVIDIA captures a substantial portion of that spending.
The 52-week trading range extends from $110.82 to $216.82, positioning today’s $197 price point closer to the upper boundary than the floor.
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